Nordic and Baltic seismologists have detected explosive waves during the rupture of a Baltic Sea gas pipeline, but they do not have enough data to determine if the explosion was intentional. The Norwegian seismology institute NORSAR identified a likely explosion near the pipeline on Sunday, and other seismologists agree that the signals indicate a man-made event. Authorities in Finland and Estonia, who own and operate the pipeline, suspect the damage was caused by a deliberate act but are still investigating. The location of the explosion was less than five kilometers from the Nord Stream gas pipelines, which were damaged by deliberate sabotage in 2022.
The seismologists noted that the seismic signals from the explosion were weaker compared to earthquakes and previous pipeline explosions. Stormy weather in the Gulf of Finland complicated the analysis, but the seismic data indicated a possible explosion. The Finnish National Investigation Agency found external markings on the seabed and is looking into ship movements as a possible cause. However, mechanical failure has not been ruled out as the most likely cause of the incident.
The fact that there was an explosion is clear, but the exact cause still needs to be determined through further investigation. Speculation suggests that a ship may have dragged the pipeline, causing a hole and subsequent explosion, but it is too early to confirm. Authorities are examining all possibilities, including intentional sabotage. The incident serves as a reminder of the vulnerability of gas pipelines and the potential for deliberate attacks on critical infrastructure.
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