New Tariffs Create Uncertainty in Global Shipping

Non-trade barriers, container shortage and FTAs discussed with Commerce Ministry
Since starting his second term, President Trump has imposed new tariffs, including a 25% duty on imports from Canada and Mexico. Analysts warn that these tariffs could suppress freight demand and raise costs for consumers. Historical data suggests businesses may rush imports to avoid tariffs, impacting the global shipping industry significantly.
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Since beginning his second term in the White House, President Donald Trump has generated significant headlines, notably with the introduction of several new tariffs on imports. On February 1, 2025, he signed three executive orders imposing a 25% duty on imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% duty on those from China. Cleveland Containers examined how these measures might impact the global shipping industry, recalling the effects of Trump’s first term.

Analyst J. Bruce Chan from Stifel noted that while the shipping sector seems ready for the changes, the new tariff regime presents uncertainty. He remarked that tariffs usually suppress freight demand and raise costs for shippers, which are typically passed on to consumers. With most trade occurring via ocean freight, he stressed potential challenges for maritime shipping, particularly for containers and bulk goods.

Historical data indicates that tariffs during Trump’s first term led to increased freight rates and altered import timings as businesses rushed to circumvent tariff deadlines. Freight economist Jason Miller predicted a similar “pull-forward” demand in 2025 as businesses seek to import goods ahead of expected tariff impacts. Cleveland Containers expressed confidence in its ability to mitigate disruption, maintaining a steady supply of shipping containers.

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